Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.075930 0.085207 0.094836 0.105547 0.117102 0.129166 0.142687
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.059459 0.072912 0.087732 0.105146 0.124919 0.146549 0.171873
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.047369 0.063180 0.081589 0.104294 0.131226 0.161843 0.198963
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041625 0.059679 0.081700 0.109949 0.144625 0.185222 0.235734
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037368 0.057203 0.082417 0.115877 0.158150 0.208847 0.273260
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.031881 0.052254 0.079270 0.116349 0.164521 0.223629 0.300213
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026343 0.046414 0.074223 0.113707 0.166432 0.232573 0.319874
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.024040 0.044854 0.074693 0.118162 0.177404 0.252928 0.353955
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.021655 0.042823 0.074222 0.121126 0.186310 0.270689 0.384980
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.019294 0.040499 0.073049 0.122891 0.193483 0.286204 0.413291
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.016987 0.037937 0.071246 0.123526 0.198963 0.299461 0.438783
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.016664 0.038718 0.074564 0.131691 0.215063 0.327083 0.483440
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014352 0.035796 0.072033 0.131326 0.219549 0.339809 0.509589
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012696 0.033868 0.070959 0.133121 0.227223 0.357137 0.542381
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010933 0.031446 0.068837 0.133132 0.232253 0.370919 0.570690
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010496 0.031672 0.071234 0.140342 0.248059 0.399951 0.620116
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010101 0.031917 0.073647 0.147622 0.264110 0.429571 0.670751
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008859 0.030065 0.072104 0.148284 0.270066 0.444907 0.701845
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007323 0.027218 0.068447 0.145182 0.270077 0.451669 0.721093
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.006904 0.027026 0.069774 0.150508 0.283200 0.477437 0.767093
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006334 0.026342 0.070074 0.154043 0.293562 0.499336 0.807929
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.005684 0.025311 0.069587 0.156146 0.301665 0.518026 0.844447
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.004988 0.023995 0.068393 0.156902 0.307586 0.533552 0.876635